Bluefield, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

642
FXUS61 KRNK 101908
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
208 PM EST Sun Nov 10 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

A frontal boundary will work its way through the area tonight
bringing scattered showers across most of the area. Patchy fog will
be possible tomorrow morning as the front continues off to the east.
By Monday afternoon, conditions clear out, with quiet conditions
returning through midweek. Temperatures will be much cooler by
Wednesday, as high pressure wedges in over the region. This is short-
lived, as another stronger front approaches the area Thursday,
bringing another round of showers across the area before clearing
out for next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW/...
As of 100 PM EDT Sunday...

Key Points:

1) Scattered showers move in tonight through tomorrow morning.

2) Rain clears out by Monday afternoon, with warm temperatures
across the area.

A frontal boundary over the Ohio River Valley will be moving over
our the RNK CWA tonight. Scattered showers will form along and ahead
of the front, which keeps rain in the forecast through midday
tomorrow as the front pushes off to the east. QPF amounts have come
down in recent model runs, particularly in the CAM models, with most
of the area seeing around 0.10", with higher amounts in our WV
counties, up to 0.25". A few isolated spots in the piedmont,
particularly the eastern locations, could see QPF totals near 0.20",
as a wave of showers ahead of the front moves through.

Temperatures will remain in the 50s and 60s, due to increased cloud
cover. As the front moves through tonight, lows stay mild in the low
50s. Since the front will not fully passes until tomorrow afternoon,
highs tomorrow will be above average, in the 60s and 70s.

&&

Short Term .../MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
... As of 145 PM EDT Sunday...

Key Messages:

1: Dry and seasonably cool in the midweek

It will actually feel a bit like fall during this period of the
forecast. Behind Monday`s front, temperatures will be around normal
with highs mostly in the 50s, and some parts of the Piedmont in the
low 60s, while overnight lows will reach into the 30s and low 40s.
Tuesday looks to be the coolest of the bunch. Ridging and high
pressure will prevent precipitation through Wednesday, but the
synoptic pattern appears to be more progressive than it has been of
late, so this will change as we head later in the week.


Long Term .../THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
... As of 200 PM EDT Sunday...

Key Messages:

1: Front passes Thursday, bringing brief period of rain

2: Mostly dry weekend

As mentioned in the previous section of the forecast discussion, our
synoptic pattern has grown more progressive, as one would expect in
the colder months. A front will move through the region on Thursday,
but will not linger long, likely providing a quick hit of
precipitation to the CWA. Temperatures will not be cold enough that
any frozen precipitation is expected at this juncture.

Another area of high pressure at the surface will move in behind the
front, and keep temperatures suppressed and in the normal range for
this time of year, maybe a touch above. Another front appears to be
in the works around Sunday/Monday, as we seem to be entering a
pattern of fropa every several days. Timing is unsure, so have
left out meaningful PoPs on Sunday with this forecast package.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 120 PM EST Sunday...

Although VFR to MVFR conditions are at all terminals, a front
is moving in from the west this evening into the overnight. This
will bring scattered showers across the area, reducing ceilings
to widespread MVFR restrictions around 20-23z for all
terminals. Mostly MVFR conditions will persist through the
overnight, though lower ceilings will move into BLF, BCB, and
ROA around 10-13z tomorrow morning to IFR conditions under 1000
feet. Patchy fog is possible but unlikely as scattered showers
will remain in the area through tomorrow morning. Southerly
winds tonight turn more westerly tomorrow morning as the front
pushes through. Sustained wind speeds remain constant around 5
knots but gusts will remain elevated around 15 knots this
evening before reducing overnight and again increasing to around
15 knots tomorrow.

Overall confidence is moderate.


EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK

VFR conditions return for late Monday as high pressure builds in
behind the front. Quiet weather will keep VFR conditions continuing
for all terminals through Thursday when another front moves in with
showers moving through. Likely sub-VFR conditions will return
Thursday when showers move in.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...JCB
NEAR TERM...JCB
SHORT TERM...VFJ
LONG TERM...VFJ
AVIATION...JCB